Good idea to sign Niese long-term?
Jon Niese is a career 22-23 pitcher with a 4.39 ERA with a history of conditioning and injury problems. He has never had arm trouble. His peripheral stats (FIP, xFIP, etc.) have consistently been better than his actual performances. He is 25 years old, in line for a big arbitration raise for the first time next winter and eligible for free agency after the 2015 season.
The Mets are currently in serious talks to sign Niese to an extension, buying out his arbitration years and at least his first couple years of free agency, as well. The potential risk is guaranteeing significant money to a pitcher who has never been a significant winner. The potential reward is keeping Niese around for his prime years if he continues improving, without having to splurge on a free agent mega-contract.
So what do you think? Good idea? Bad idea? Vote and feel free to comment.
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