Results tagged ‘ Aroldis Chapman ’

Dispatches from Port St. Lucie, 3/23

There is officially one week to go until Opening Day.

traditionfieldstands

What we learned: Though Jenrry Mejia has outpitched Daisuke Matsuzaka this spring, Mejia’s low innings total last year may preclude him from joining the Opening Day rotation.

What we wrote:

Around the league:

They said it:

“Tim Teufel was probably not happy.” –Daniel Murphy on his between-the-legs throw to first, referring to the Mets’ third-base coach and infield instructor.

Follow me on Twitter @AnthonyDiComo

Dispatches from Port St. Lucie, 3/19

Shhh…all’s quiet in Port St. Lucie as the Mets enjoyed their first and only off day of the spring. Me? I went to the food truck festival in Tradition.

foodtrucks

What we learned: The Nationals have set their season-opening rotation, with Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmermann slated to face the Mets at Citi Field.

What we wrote:

Around the league:

They said it:

“It was the most frightening thing I’ve ever been a part of.” –Reds right fielder Jay Bruce on Chapman’s injury

Follow me on Twitter @AnthonyDiComo

Examining R.A. Dickey’s Cy Young candidacy

R.A. Dickey continued padding his statistics Monday against the Rockies, falling short of victory but shuffling ever closer to a potential National League Cy Young award.

Assuming the Mets do not alter their rotation in any radical way (a slim possibility) between now and the end of the season, Dickey should have eight starts remaining to prove he is Cy-worthy at age 37. As it currently shakes out, he will face the Marlins (29th-ranked offense) three times, and the Astros (28th), Phillies (23rd), Nationals (13th), Braves (9th) and Cardinals (4th) all once. So despite Dickey needing to win five times in eight games to reach 20 victories, the schedule is set up nicely for him.

That said, there are plenty of other fine candidates pursuing a Cy Young. With eight starts remaining, here’s a look at how Dickey stacks up against the other leaders:

*Note: Wins Above Replacement is omitted from the comparison due to the significant differences between accepted systems. But Dickey ranks third in Baseball Prosectus’s calculations and fifth in those of Baseball Reference and FanGraphs. Clayton Kershaw is the only other NL pitcher to rank in the top five in all three systems.

R.A. Dickey, Mets
ERA: 2.82 (4th)
Record: 15-4 (T-3rd)
Strikeouts: 181 (1st)
Innings: 175.1 (3rd)
WHIP: 1.03 (4th)
K/BB: 4.53 (5th)
FIP: 3.10 (7th)
xFIP: 3.11 (4th)

Dickey also leads the National League with four complete games, and is tied for the lead with two shutouts.

Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers
ERA: 2.87 (7th)
Record: 11-7 (T-16th)
Strikeouts: 175 (2nd)
Innings: 178.2 (1st)
WHIP: 1.00 (2nd)
K/BB: 4.17 (7th)
FIP: 2.84 (4th)
xFIP: 3.21 (6th)

The reigning NL Cy Young winner, Kershaw is 4-1 with a 1.88 ERA, 39 strikeouts and four walks over his last five starts.

Johnny Cueto, Reds
ERA: 2.44 (1st)
Record: 16-6 (T-1st)
Strikeouts: 135 (18th)
Innings: 169.2 (6th)
WHIP: 1.13 (8th)
K/BB: 3.65 (13th)
FIP: 3.04 (5th)
xFIP: 3.63 (T-15th)

Cueto would have ranked second in the NL in ERA last year had he amassed enough innings to qualify.

Madison Bumgarner, Giants
ERA: 2.83 (5th)
Record: 14-7 (T-5th)
Strikeouts: 160 (6th)
Innings: 171.2 (4th)
WHIP: 0.99 (1st)
K/BB: 5.00 (3rd)
FIP: 3.26 (11th)
xFIP: 3.23 (7th)

Bumgarner, who recently celebrated his 23rd birthday, has been one of baseball’s best pitchers since the All-Star break.

Aroldis Chapman, Reds
ERA: 1.35 (N/A)
Saves: 29 (3rd)
Strikeouts: 110 (T-35th)
Innings: 60.0 (T-93rd)
WHIP: 0.72 (N/A)
K/BB: 7.33 (N/A)
FIP: 1.03 (N/A)
xFIP: 1.39 (N/A)

Chapman, a reliever, will not pitch even half the innings necessary to qualify for the ERA title and other rate stat leaderboards.

***

Those are probably the top five in some order, and you can make a legitimate case for every one of them. Cueto leads the league in ERA. Bumgarner has been more or less unhittable since July. Kershaw is trending in the right direction and could easily finish with the league’s best overall resume. Chapman is the most-feared and most-successful reliever in baseball. Dickey may have the most well-rounded stat line of any of them.

At this point, you could certainly make an argument to rank Dickey as high as first. I’d listen. But with fractions of points separating almost everyone on this list, there is a lot that can still happen over the next five weeks, including late runs from the second-tier group of Cole Hamels of the Phillies, Matt Cain of the Giants and Gio Gonzalez, Jordan Zimmermann and Stephen Strasburg (if he does not get shut down) of the Nationals.

All that’s clear is that with eight starts remaining, Dickey is on the short list of legitimate Cy Young contenders in one of the most crowded fields of contenders in years.

Follow me on Twitter: @AnthonyDiComo.

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